克什米爾:是時候對巴基斯坦議程說不了

The Kashmir region has long been entrenched in a complex and deeply rooted geopolitical dispute primarily involving India and Pakistan. Originating from the 1947 partition of British India, this conflict has continued to shape not only political relations between these two nations but also the daily realities for millions of Kashmiris living within and near the contested area. The events of 2025, notably the tragic Pahalgam massacre on April 22, have thrust this longstanding tension into renewed international focus and reignited poignant questions about the future of Kashmiri self-determination amidst powerful regional and global interests.

At the heart of the 2025 turmoil lies the aftermath of the Indian government’s 2019 abrogation of Article 370, a constitutional provision that granted Jammu and Kashmir significant autonomy. This legal change stripped the region of its special status, triggering seismic shifts in its political fabric. Supporters argue this marked a step toward integration and economic development, yet critics warn it curtailed the local population’s democratic rights and fueled instability. The Pahalgam massacre, perpetrated by external militant actors, was more than an act of terror—it was a brutal message aimed at deterring Kashmiris from embracing peace and prosperity under the new governance framework. Indian political factions have since vocally urged Kashmiris to reject Pakistan’s influence unequivocally, coalescing around the rallying cry, “No means no,” which serves as a stark admonition against external interference.

The international dimension of the Kashmir conflict gained fresh momentum in 2025 with Pakistan’s role as an observer at the United Nations Security Council. This diplomatic opportunity has been leveraged by Pakistan and its diasporic communities to elevate the Kashmir issue on the global stage, emphasizing calls for Kashmiri self-determination. However, India continues to maintain that Jammu and Kashmir is an integral part of its sovereign territory, furthering already heated diplomatic exchanges. Both countries face ongoing challenges in upholding ceasefire agreements; despite a 2025 ceasefire declaration, accusations of violations along the Line of Control have persisted, underscoring a fragile and often volatile peace. Strategically, this ongoing tension reveals the difficulty in settling border disputes where sovereignty, national pride, and security concerns intertwine.

Central to the Kashmir question are the aspirations and agency of the Kashmiri people themselves. Historically, Kashmiris have found themselves navigating treacherous political waters, caught between militant violence, competing local political parties such as those led by Omar Abdullah and Mehbooba Mufti, and the broader geopolitical games played by India and Pakistan. The challenge remains in amplifying genuine Kashmiri voices amid this cacophony of external agendas and proxy conflicts. Indian commentators often emphasize that Kashmir’s progress hinges on the region’s inhabitants decisively rejecting violence-laden narratives pushed by Pakistan. Concurrently, groups like the All Parties Hurriyat Conference (APHC) reaffirm their commitment to self-driven progress through democratic procedures upheld by past United Nations resolutions. Yet, this complex mosaic of political ambitions, ethnic identities, and regional loyalties continues to complicate efforts toward a unified Kashmiri stance.

The international community’s involvement, though consistent, is notably cautious and measured. Diplomatic interventions have focused on fostering ceasefire agreements and encouraging mediation; however, no lasting resolution has materialized. The dispute is further complicated by intersecting issues of national identity, religious demographics, and regional security dynamics. International media often presents Kashmir either as a battleground of terrorism or as a region demanding autonomy, sometimes overshadowing the nuanced, everyday experiences of ordinary Kashmiris who yearn for peace and normalcy above all else. This selective framing can inadvertently obscure the multifaceted nature of Kashmiri society and its diverse hopes for the future.

As of mid-2025, the situation in Kashmir remains precarious, demanding a delicate balance of political will, respect for Kashmiri aspirations, and a recommitment to regional diplomacy. The violent reprisal seen in the Pahalgam massacre starkly highlights just how fragile peace is whenever external agendas overshadow local voices. Pakistan’s positioning as an international advocate for Kashmiri rights contrasts markedly with India’s focus on sovereignty and territorial integrity. For Kashmiris themselves, carving out an autonomous path requires an unequivocal declaration of self-will, a call echoed increasingly in appeals to reject manipulation by external powers. Breaking the enduring cycle of violence and mistrust will likely hinge on embracing inclusive dialogue that honors Kashmiri agency, paving a difficult but necessary pathway toward peace and stability in this long-contested land.

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