銀行停貸 國家停滯

The Global Banking Slowdown: A Perfect Storm of Bad Loans and Political Meddling
Dude, let’s talk about the elephant in the vault—global banking is *not* having a good time. Imagine a detective flick where the suspect is… well, banks themselves. From Dhaka to Wall Street, lending is freezing up like a busted ATM, and the culprits? A gnarly mix of political shenanigans, reckless lending, and good ol’ human greed. Seriously, it’s like banks forgot their job is to *lend money*, not hoard it like dragons.

The NPL Epidemic: When “Bad Loans” Go Viral

Here’s the smoking gun: non-performing loans (NPLs) are skyrocketing, up 20.7% globally from 2022 to 2023. In Bangladesh alone, bad loans hit Tk 145,633 crores by December 2023—and guess who’s holding the bag? State-owned banks, baby. The World Bank calls it like it is: politically motivated lending (read: handing cash to cronies) and laughable risk management. It’s like giving your broke cousin a credit card and being shocked when they max it out on crypto.
But Bangladesh isn’t alone. From China’s property sector meltdown to Italy’s zombie banks, NPLs are the financial equivalent of a hangover after a *very* bad party. And when banks drown in bad debt, they stop lending to *actual* businesses. Cue the economic slowdown.

Politics + Banking = A Hot Mess Express

Let’s dissect the *real* crime scene: politically connected lending. In Bangladesh, banks funnel cash to their *owners* instead of creditworthy borrowers. It’s like a twisted game of Monopoly where the banker steals from Community Chest. The result? A liquidity crisis so severe even Shariah-based banks—usually insulated from conventional banking drama—are gasping for cash.
Globally, this isn’t new. Post-2008, banks sat on trillions in cash despite near-zero interest rates. Why? Regulatory PTSD. Tighter rules made lenders paranoid, while post-crisis trauma turned them into Scrooge McDuck. The irony? The system is *swimming* in money, but no one’s sprinkling it where it’s needed—like small businesses or developing nations.

The Domino Effect: When Banks Stop, Economies Stall

Here’s the kicker: when banks stop lending, economies grind to a halt. Bangladesh’s growth—once a global darling—is now sputtering thanks to credit droughts. The UN’s António Guterres isn’t subtle: the financial system’s “safety net” for developing countries is missing in action.
And let’s talk bank runs. Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse was a wake-up call: without deposit insurance and emergency liquidity, panic spreads faster than a TikTok trend. The fix? Capital buffers, smarter regulations, and maybe—*just maybe*—lending to people who’ll actually pay it back.

The Way Out: Detective’s Notebook

So, how do we unfreeze this mess?

  • Chop the NPL tumor: Aggressive write-offs, stricter risk checks, and no more loans to “friends of the regime.”
  • Liquidity lifelines: Central banks must step in *before* ATMs run dry.
  • Global reforms: Guterres is right—we need a financial system that doesn’t leave developing nations hanging.
  • Bottom line? Banks gotta remember their job: move money, not manipulate it. Until then, the global economy’s stuck in detective mode—searching for clues, dodging red flags, and hoping the next crisis isn’t around the corner. *Case closed? Hardly.*

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