ICICI看好Polycab:目標價6150盧比

The Polycab Puzzle: Why This Indian Wire Giant Has Analysts Split
Dude, let’s talk about Polycab India—the kind of company that makes you go, *”Wait, why aren’t we all investing in wires and cables?”* Seriously, this Mumbai-based consumer durables player has been quietly crushing it since 1996, with financials so shiny they could blind a Black Friday shopper. But here’s the twist: analysts can’t decide if it’s a *”Hold your horses”* or *”Buy the whole damn stable”* situation. Grab your magnifying glass, because we’re digging into the clues.

1. The Financial Forensics: Revenue That Doesn’t Fray
First, the numbers don’t lie. Polycab posted ₹22,615.95 crore in revenue for FY2025, with profits hitting ₹2,019.99 crore—like finding a vintage Levi’s jacket at a thrift store for ₹100. Their Q4 ’25 earnings (₹7,033.87 crore revenue, ₹726.67 crore profit) show consistency, which, let’s be real, is rarer than a polite retail customer. But here’s the kicker: ICICI Securities projects an 18.5% revenue CAGR and 19.4% PAT growth through 2027, with RoCE hitting 20%. That’s *DCF-modeled*, folks—fancy math for *”this company prints money.”* Yet, their “Hold” rating at ₹6,790 feels like a detective withholding the case’s smoking gun.

2. The Analyst Divide: Bulls vs. Skeptics in a Tug-of-War
Enter ICICI Direct, waving a *”Buy”* flag at ₹2,800 (15.3% upside from today’s ₹2,427.55). Their optimism? Polycab’s mid-cap mojo (₹34,829.28 crore market cap) and promoter-heavy ownership (68.5%), which screams *”we’re not going anywhere.”* But hold up—why the split verdict? Dig deeper: HSBC bets on industry tailwinds (renewable energy, EV wiring), while skeptics whisper about valuation (P/E of 39x FY2026 EPS). It’s like watching two shoppers fight over the last discount TV—someone’s gonna leave disappointed.

3. The Industry Wiretap: Cables Are the New Gold
Here’s where it gets juicy. Polycab’s playground—wires and cables—is heating up faster than a Starbucks espresso machine. Underground urban wiring? Check. Solar farms and EV charging grids? Double-check. Brokerages drool over India’s infra push, but let’s not ignore the elephant in the room: 13.1% public float means retail investors are nibbling, not feasting. And with FIIs/DIIs holding 18.3%, this stock’s liquidity is… *selective*, like a members-only sample sale.

The Verdict: A Growth Stock Wrapped in Mystery
So, what’s the takeaway? Polycab’s financials are rock-solid, its industry’s on fire, and promoters aren’t bailing. But with analysts split and valuations stretching like yoga pants, it’s a classic *”high-risk, high-reward”* play. My detective’s hunch? Watch the institutional activity—if FIIs/DIIs pile in, that ₹6,790 target might just unravel. Until then, keep your receipts, friends. The market’s always got another plot twist.

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